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复发或转移性鼻咽癌抗PD-1治疗后BMI和代谢综合征与预后的相关性

Prognostic Associations of BMI and Metabolic Syndrome With Outcomes After Anti-PD-1 Therapy in Recurrent or Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

临床研究鼻咽癌IF 6Q2

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中文摘要

目的: 评估体重指数(BMI)和代谢综合征(MetS)与接受抗PD-1治疗的复发或转移性鼻咽癌(R/M-NPC)患者预后之间的相关性,并开发总生存期(OS)的预后模型。方法:这项多中心回顾性研究纳入来自中国两家医院的238例BMI≥18.5 kg/m²的患者。采用中心校正、中心分层、分层和定量敏感性分析评估BMI和MetS的相关性。在湘雅队列中开发OS列线图,并在哈尔滨队列中进行外部评估。结果:在将暴露因素分别纳入的临床混杂因素校正模型中,高BMI与OS(HR,0.462;95% CI,0.324-0.657)和PFS(HR,0.511;95% CI,0.380-0.688)相关,MetS与OS(HR,0.433;95% CI,0.278-0.674)和PFS(无进展生存期)(HR,0.616;95% CI,0.439-0.866)相关。当BMI和MetS联合建模时,MetS与PFS的相关性减弱(HR,0.714;95% CI,0.504-1.012;p=0.058)。探索性生物标志物分析显示,联合阳性评分(CPS)和泛免疫炎症值(PIV)存在组间差异。各中心特异性效应方向一致,但外部中心的校准斜率为0.53(95% CI,0.08-0.98)。结论:在接受抗PD-1治疗、BMI≥18.5 kg/m²的中国R/M-NPC患者中,较高的BMI和MetS显示出预后相关性。这些观察性数据不能确立因果或治疗预测效应,需要在非中国人群及全体重谱中进行前瞻性验证。

英文摘要

To evaluate the associations of body mass index (BMI) and metabolic syndrome (MetS) with outcomes in patients with recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (R/M-NPC) receiving anti-PD-1 therapy, and to develop a prognostic model for overall survival (OS). This multicenter retrospective study included 238 patients with BMI ≥ 18.5 kg/m2 from two Chinese hospitals. BMI and MetS associations were evaluated using center-adjusted, center-stratified, hierarchical, and quantitative sensitivity analyses. An OS nomogram was developed in the Xiangya cohort and externally evaluated in the Harbin cohort. In clinical confounder-adjusted models with the exposures entered separately, high BMI was associated with OS (HR, 0.462; 95% CI, 0.324-0.657) and PFS (HR, 0.511; 95% CI, 0.380-0.688), and MetS was associated with OS (HR, 0.433; 95% CI, 0.278-0.674) and PFS (progression-free survival) (HR, 0.616; 95% CI, 0.439-0.866). When BMI and MetS were jointly modelled, the MetS-PFS association was attenuated (HR, 0.714; 95% CI, 0.504-1.012; p = 0.058). Exploratory biomarker analyses revealed group differences in combined positive score (CPS) and pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV). Center-specific effect directions were consistent, but the external-center calibration slope was 0.53 (95% CI, 0.08-0.98). Among anti-PD-1-treated Chinese patients with R/M-NPC and a BMI ≥ 18.5 kg/m2, higher BMI and MetS showed prognostic associations. These observational data do not establish causal or treatment-predictive effects, and prospective validation in non-Chinese populations across the full body-weight spectrum is needed.